Shows some pretty intense convection just off to the NE of the center.... white hot.... but still oh so small.... continues on that slow NW track per the IR loop... with the approaching cold front, and it looks to be quite significant for August (what the heck are we getting cold fronts in Aug anyway....) if it slows down to much, I think the track could actually shift more to the right... its all about timing with these approaching fronts.... if it increases speed, track goes more left.. right now models are consistent on Fl panhandle... PC or just to the right of PC looks about as good as any place right now... as I said, with this one its all about its forward speed and timing with the front...
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Generated May 11, 2024, 2:05:37 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center