This was what I was worried about...we COULD be seeing the beginning of rapid intensifcation.
Can Bonnie get to Cat 3? Yes. Will it? Maybe. Will it be at landfall? Doubtful...the end of the track will be marked with some significant SW shear at landfall, so Bonnie may weaken a bit right before landfall. BUT...
If you live on the Northern Gulf Coast, take this very seriously. Finish your preparations as soon as possible. Even if Bonnie falls apart, we still have Charley to deal with possibly in 5 days.
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Generated May 20, 2024, 10:20:56 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center