Bonnie is a ball of contradictions...pressures are pretty low, structures are pretty good, but convection can't stay sustained for very long. It looks like it could collapse at any point, and it at the same time looks like it could deepen rapidly at any point as well.
This one is keeping us on our toes.
I've been sort of myopic on Bonnie, cause it is the more immediate threat. If Charlie would slow down, Katy Bar the Door....but at this rate of speed it is rather impressive that it has developed as much as it has. The more eastward track (or more correctly that the NHC bit on it) isn't something that I would cling onto just yet....wait for the Gulfstream 4 data and we will get a much better picture of what is going on.
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Generated May 20, 2024, 2:50:54 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center