"Constant motion not fluxuations.
We are in for the long haul."-Bobbi
Can't the stress the importance of this enough. I believe that NHC uses satellite fixes that are several hours in length before determining motion.
When making a forecast, biting too hard on what could turn out to be a short-term trend can ruin your forecast. With that being said, the new models have shifted to the west, now indicating more of a northern FP landfall.
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Generated May 10, 2024, 9:15:19 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center