Looking at the 48 hour forecast given 2 days ago, at 12z it was supposed to be at 15 north 71.5 west. This morning, it was at 14.5 and 71.4. That is pretty darn close. In fact, I think that is a good job of forecasting.
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Generated May 21, 2024, 4:11:14 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center