Have you all looked at the Canadian model ? It was extremely accurate on the past few Hurricanes. It has Ivan going further West than any of the models. It doesn't "weaken" the ridge like the other models. It expects it to stay strong and force it towards the Pensacola to Panama City area.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 4:34:31 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center