The sfc ridge to the north of Ivan is hanging in there pretty strong, along with the upper level trough. I can't help but consider the possibility that Ivan will move farther west between Grand Cayman and Cozumel. Surface pressures haven't started dropping yet at Grand Cayman with the recent passage of an outer band.
... surface pressures are falling however over western Cuba.
-------------------- "Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."
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Generated May 16, 2024, 4:29:23 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center