New ETA has storm clipping Yucatan, new GFS has storm hitting western Cuba. A friend of mine and I used to joke back in the '80s about the disclaimer by the NHC at the end of the forecasts. We used to say "errors may exceed a few hundred thousand miles". Things have come a long way since then.
Sorry, edited to say Western Cuba......There is a 27 hour difference between Earth and Vulcan.....thanks for catching that
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Generated May 15, 2024, 6:47:08 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center