12Z ECMWF model run has it at the MS/LA line in 96 hours.... regardless of some of the models shifting west I expect the following statement in the 5:00 pm update........
""THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND REMAINS IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE.""
The GOM... "the graveyard of busted forecasts..... "
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Generated May 16, 2024, 5:24:41 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center