The 0503Z vortex fix. Pressure 920mb, 35nm eye;winds146kts-NE quad.=flt level wind of 168.1mph, and surface wind of 151.3mph
Actually a met could probably answer that better. But I think they have left for the night. The ATLC high pressure ridge is keeping Ivan from making the turn northward. The trough (trof) is acting as a minor roadblock right now, but should turn into a rail for Ivan to ride along, or a deflector to limit his westward motion. Frank, you may be better at this one.
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Generated May 16, 2024, 2:19:25 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center