Quote: What mechanism would create or make a storm have a "land avoidance?"
"Land avoidance" caused by topography, sheer, trofs, ridges, etc. is usually on a smaller scale undiscernable by the models, etc. When it comes right down to it, the absolutely best "mechanism" I've witnessed in terms of "land avoidance" is prayer. No one forecasted Ivan to take the track it has taken, much less explain the little turns and twists that have kept it over water this long.
-------------------- "Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."
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Generated May 16, 2024, 10:40:56 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center