At 12:15 pm EDT it looks like Hurricane Ivan is finally on a NW track that will probably graze the western end of Cuba.
What do I think? No change here. I'm pretty sure that I'm the only Meteorologist that does not buy the westward track between New Orleans and Pensacola. I still predict a landfall between Apalachicola and Cedar Key. And if you read the 11:00 am EDT NHC/TPC forecast discussion on Ivan you can see that they realize a much further east landfall track is still possible.
Take Care, Thomas F. Giella Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL
-------------------- Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
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Generated May 15, 2024, 4:27:04 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center