I think the NHC has a pretty good handle on this, so I don't think it will be "shoved" rightward more than expected right now. I probably should have worded that differently, but I can't quite describe the way I want. I'll try it this way:
Imagaine me at 160 lbs coming in line with large boulder rolling down a hill. I can push with all my might at a 90 deg. angle, but can only alter its course by 10 degrees, but have expended everything I have trying to "shove" it the other way. Maybe a bowling analogy would have been better.
Edit for the following addition:
Notice that the convection is firing on the left side again in conjunction with the reorganization. It is a little less lop-sided.
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Generated May 16, 2024, 12:37:52 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center