I guess that the 5AM NHC discussion talked about the ridge to the north of Jeanne that is forecasted to influence a westerly track thereby causing a westward bias in its direction; it is hoped that a weakened ridge would cause a northerly course which is what the models are indicating now-and take it out ot sea-or to the Carolinas. The more west the greater the threat for a Florida interaction; direct or indirect.
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Generated May 19, 2024, 9:33:45 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center