Everyone remember the discussions come out about 9 hours after where they see the models. For example 11pm forcast was from 2pm this afternoon on the 18z run. The Oz runs that we see now = 8pm which mean they will adjust the track and discuss it for the 5am adv.
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Generated May 19, 2024, 11:38:03 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center