Quote: ETA (again not a good hurricane tracking model to use but better then the tropical model suites) 12z run is out showing a more southerly route compared to the 6z run. Now showing inland near WPB in 36hrs across to Sarasota-Ft Myers by 48hrs.
Scott, the 11 a.m. discussion mentions possible movement south of due west. Would this support those models like ETA and NOGAPS, that take Jeanne across the peninsula? Or is this southward motion expected to be short-lived?
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Generated May 19, 2024, 9:03:57 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center