If people haven't yet evacuated, there's probably no time left to do so now...so far NHC has been spot on with each update; the difference between a weak IV & strong III? maybe 5 mph...
Unfortunately it looks like she's gaining some strength as she seems to be rushing to completion her ERC...fortunately, it looks like she will hit at fairly low tide...
Problem is, while surge may "only" be 15' or so, you've got some 30' waves being generated, and these beaches have been devastated...all the structures are weakened from Frances and it won't take nearly as much to destroy stuff as it would if Florida hadn't already been thrashed 3 weeks ago.
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Generated May 19, 2024, 7:04:07 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center