His forecast for October is: Named Storms: 3 Named Storm Days: 12 Hurricanes: 2 Hurricane Days: 8 Intense Hurricanes: 0 Intense Hurricane Days: 0 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity: 20
In the section called "Florida's Future Hurricane Seasons" he says:
Floridians should view this year's onslaught of hurricane activity as a rare anomaly. This year's landfalling hurricane activity does not by itself represent the beginning or the end of any cycle or trend for landfalling hurricanes. This year will have no bearing on what will occur in future years anymore than the great paucity of Florida landfalling major hurricanes between 1966-2003 had any bearing on this year's landfalling systems. The probability of having hurricane-spawned winds, rain, and storm surge at any spot in any year along the U.S. coastline is very low. We would not recommend that anyone move out of Florida or decide not to move to Florida solely because of the threat of hurricanes. Florida hurricanes must be accepted as one small negative of an otherwise pleasant climate.
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Generated May 13, 2024, 2:32:26 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center