The models, linked below, haven't updated yet. The new models will have 01OCT04 00Z on them. The 12Z models, from this morning, are Not reflecting any thing in the Carib or GOM, at the time they were issued.
http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/
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Generated May 12, 2024, 9:09:51 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center