News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks Previous   Index   Next   Flat

HanKFranK User Reged: Mon Posts: 1841 Loc: Graniteville, SC incipient matthew       Fri Oct 08 2004 01:46 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   nhc is waiting for their vortex message, probably so they can decide whether matthew will be tropical or subtropical. based on the core temperatures on yesterday's recon i'd say it is a tropical entity ahead of a baroclinic zone, but of course there's no telling what nhc will decide to call it. all of the weather is east of the center.. unless it accelerates some (don't buy that north-movement crap the globals are trying to give it.. gfs is treating it like a part of the upper trough).. think ene like that option i was pondering a couple days ago.. towards the se louisiana to panhandle region. my ideas aren't too far removed from what scott says, though that stuff about a mid-level vortmax being a depression hitting mexico the other day i didn't dig at all. think it will start shearing out as it nears the coast, too much in the way of westerlies.. if it reintensifies north of 30n after passing into the atlantic more than likely it will no longer be tropical. complex deep layer system is developing in the central atlantic.. modeling starting to look more like a crossover tropical system rather than a gale center.. another iffy scenario with how nhc handles these things. yet another deep layer low is forecast to dig southward near the azores and long range modeling looks suspicious there as well. low amplitude wave flaring near 50w is entering a favorable zone and may begin to look more ominous, though that will be a slow, low potential feature if anything. there's an itcz vortmax south of the gulf of tehuantepec that models are developing in the eastpac some.. taking it wnw. i don't buy that quick movement, think it may be festering more and moving nnw. wait/see, but it gives me some ideas. soi solidly negative, big typhoon heading for the south coast of honshu in japan... something could well pop in the deep tropics in the next few days. with the current longwave positions the sw caribbean and near the antilles look like the areas to watch... going into next week. gfs keeps speeding up that sharp amplification into the eastern u.s. late next week.. if something is in the western caribbean early next week then florida will have some worries. HF 1745z08october Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Something new in the Bay of Campeche Storm Cooper Fri Oct 08 2004 01:46 PM HVY Rain possibility for W and N Gulf Coast danielw   Thu Oct 07 2004 04:34 AM Re: HVY Rain possibility for W and N Gulf Coast ShanaTX   Thu Oct 07 2004 08:06 AM Scatt... LI Phil   Thu Oct 07 2004 11:22 AM Five for Florida? Kal   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:07 PM Re: Five for Florida? Storm Cooper   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:27 PM Re: Five for Florida? andy1tom   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:36 PM Re: Five for Florida? grasshopper2   Thu Oct 07 2004 01:04 PM Re: Five for Florida? andy1tom   Thu Oct 07 2004 01:55 PM Re: Five for Florida? grasshopper2   Thu Oct 07 2004 02:34 PM Re: Five for Florida? DroopGB31   Thu Oct 07 2004 02:43 PM Re: Five for Florida? scottsvb1   Thu Oct 07 2004 02:33 PM Re: Five for Florida? doug   Thu Oct 07 2004 02:53 PM Re: Five for Florida? scottsvb1   Thu Oct 07 2004 03:19 PM Re: Five for Florida? Bloodstar   Thu Oct 07 2004 04:25 PM Re: Five for Florida? Keith234   Thu Oct 07 2004 05:04 PM recon Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 07 2004 05:50 PM Re: recon Keith234   Thu Oct 07 2004 05:53 PM Re: recon Anony   Thu Oct 07 2004 06:43 PM Re: recon Keith(234)   Thu Oct 07 2004 07:17 PM Re: recon summercyclone   Thu Oct 07 2004 07:29 PM Re: recon Keith234   Thu Oct 07 2004 08:08 PM Re: recon Rabbit   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:01 PM Re: recon Keith234   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:03 PM Re: recon scottsvb1   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:12 PM Re: recon Keith234   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:33 PM Re: recon scottsvb1   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:14 PM Scott, I'm confused... LI Phil   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:27 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... ShanaTX   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:51 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... LI Phil   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:53 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... ShanaTX   Thu Oct 07 2004 10:04 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... LI Phil   Thu Oct 07 2004 10:17 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Hurric   Thu Oct 07 2004 10:33 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Redbird   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:49 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... DMFischer   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:15 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... GuppieGrouper   Thu Oct 07 2004 11:14 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Hurric   Fri Oct 08 2004 07:13 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 07:41 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Katie   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:50 AM Not for nothin', but... LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:28 AM Re: Not for nothin', but... anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 12:07 PM Re: lets wake up doug   Fri Oct 08 2004 12:18 PM Re: lets wake up Ronn   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:59 PM Re: lets wake up Anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 02:38 PM Re: lets wake up Ronn   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:09 PM Re: lets wake up LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 02:40 PM Re: lets wake up Anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:15 PM Re: lets wake up Anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:18 PM Re: lets wake up Anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:23 PM Matthew Advisory #1 recmod   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:05 PM Re: lets wake up LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:28 PM Re: lets wake up Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:43 PM Re: lets wake up LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:53 PM Re: lets wake up Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:53 PM Re: lets wake up anony   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:17 PM Maybe Matthew... LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:28 PM Re: Maybe Matthew... LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:32 PM Re: Maybe Matthew... Rasvar   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:38 PM Matthew @ 5:00 LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:54 PM Re: Matthew @ 5:00 Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:55 PM Re: Matthew @ 5:00 LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:00 PM Re: lets wake up Storm Cooper   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:29 PM Re: lets wake up LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:30 PM Re: lets wake up Rabbit   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:20 PM Re: lets wake up Storm Cooper   Fri Oct 08 2004 12:31 PM Re: lets wake up LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 12:25 PM Re: lets wake up Steve hirschb.   Fri Oct 08 2004 12:52 PM Re: lets wake up scottsvb1   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:18 PM Re: lets wake up Storm Cooper   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:28 PM incipient matthew HanKFranK   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:46 PM Re: incipient matthew scottsvb1   Fri Oct 08 2004 02:03 PM More West Cocoa Beach   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:08 PM Re: Not for nothin', but... James88   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:47 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... doug   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:21 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... scottsvb1   Fri Oct 08 2004 01:47 AM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Storm Cooper   Fri Oct 08 2004 03:32 AM RE:Tropical Weather Discussion DMFischer   Thu Oct 07 2004 11:14 PM Re: Scott, I'm confused... Hurric   Thu Oct 07 2004 09:59 PM Re: recon Rabbit   Thu Oct 07 2004 06:37 PM water vapor Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 07 2004 06:31 PM Re: Five for Florida? Storm Cooper   Thu Oct 07 2004 01:19 PM Re: Five for Florida? Storm Cooper   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:38 PM Re: Five for Florida? scottsvb1   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:40 PM Re: Five for Florida? devin   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:48 PM Re: Five for Florida? LI Phil   Thu Oct 07 2004 12:52 PM Re: Scatt... Ronn   Thu Oct 07 2004 11:37 AM Re: Scatt... James88   Thu Oct 07 2004 11:53 AM SW Gulf Of Mexico danielw   Thu Oct 07 2004 05:19 AM 5AM CDT Tropical WX Outlook danielw   Thu Oct 07 2004 05:25 AM

Extra information 0 registered and 10 anonymous users are browsing this forum. Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw  Forum Permissions       You cannot start new topics       You cannot reply to topics       HTML is disabled       UBBCode is enabled Rating: Thread views: 38299 Rate this thread Choose rating 1 star 2 star 3 star 4 star 5 star Jump to *News Talkback* -----   2024 News Talkbacks*General Discussion* -----   2024 Forecast Lounge   2024 Storm Forum   The Tropics Today   Other Storm Basins   Hurricane History   Hurricane Ask/Tell   Site Updates, Suggestions and Questions   Disaster Forum*General Discussion* -----   Comedy Shop   Everything and Nothing   Other Weather Events*Weather Bloggers* -----   Blogger Discussion   Resident Meteorologist Discussions   Weather Blog Bios/Links*Archives 2020s* -----   2022 News Talkbacks   2022 Storm Forum   2022 Forecast Lounge   2023 News Talkbacks   2023 Forecast Lounge   2023 Storm Forum   2021 News Talkbacks   2020 News Talkbacks*Archives 2010s* -----   2015 News Talkbacks   2015 Storm Forum   2015 Forecast Lounge   2017 Forecast Lounge   2013 Storm Forum   2013 Forecast Lounge   2012 Storm Forum   2012 Forecast Lounge   2011 News Talkbacks   2016 News Talkbacks   2017 News Talkbacks   2018 News Talkbacks   2019 News Talkbacks   2013 News Talkbacks   2014 News Talkbacks   2010 News Talkbacks   2010 Storm Forum   2010 Forecast Lounge*Archives 2002-2009* -----   2009 Storm Forum   2009 Forecast Lounge   2008 News Talkbacks   2008 Storm Forum   2008 Forecast Lounge   2007 News Talkbacks   2007 Storm Forum   2006 Storm Forum   2006 Forecast Lounge   2005 News Talkbacks   2005 Storm Forum   2004 News Talkbacks   2003 Storm Forum   2002 News Articles and Talkback   2002 Storm Forum

---

Mobile Home - Login - Normal Flhurricane Site
This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 10, 2024, 3:35:44 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center