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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Loc: Melbourne, FL
Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda
      Sun Oct 10 2004 11:06 AM

Sunday 5PM Update:
STS Nicole has just about been drifting in place for the past six hours - currently about 100 miles west of Bermuda. A northward track is still anticipated. At 5PM Bermuda reported winds out of the south southeast at 45mph gusting to 55mph, i.e., tropical storm force. Which makes me wonder about the usefulness of the Tropical Storm Watch for Bermuda. Note that Bermuda is also under a Gale Warning. At 5PM NHC estimates central pressure at 1000mb and Bermuda reports central pressure at 1001mb.
Added: At 5:22PM pressure at Hamilton is down to 1000mb.
ED

Original Post:
STS Nicole, the fourteenth named storm of the season, has developed from an upper level cold core system, and is located about 80 miles west of Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds are about 45mph and some intensification is expected as the storm moves north toward Nova Scotia. Bermuda is currently under a gale warning and a Tropical Storm Watch.

Matthew is now a Tropical Depression over southeast Louisiana (about 40 miles west of New Orleans) and the NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. TD Matthew should continue to move north over the next 48 hours and eventually dissipate. All Tropical Storm Warnings associated with Matthew have been discontinued.

Another wave in the far eastern Atlantic may have some potential for development in a few days, however, shear is on the increase in the Atlantic Basin.
ED

Storm Related Links
Bermuda Current Weather

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Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
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Mount st. Helens Volcanocam animation
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Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

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Some forecast models:
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AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Oct 10 2004 06:08 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Oct 10 2004 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Terra   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Systems Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Hurricane Season 2004 Website recmod   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Season 2004 Website Anony   Mon Oct 11 2004 12:07 PM
. * * Large waves from Karl Domino   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:02 AM
. * * Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Steve   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Nicole thoughts Clark   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:03 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 01:26 PM
. * * Overview of Current Weather Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Redbird   Tue Oct 12 2004 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:29 PM
. * * New Invest Bloodstar   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: New Invest Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: New Invest HumanCookie   Mon Oct 11 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: New Invest Ricreig   Tue Oct 12 2004 02:17 PM
. * * Current Weather Overview 10/12 Keith234   Tue Oct 12 2004 04:48 PM
. * * Thoughts from Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Oct 12 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas LONNY307   Wed Oct 13 2004 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas Storm Cooper   Wed Oct 13 2004 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Katie   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) GuppieGrouper   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts DroopGB31   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Read RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Matt033   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 04:51 PM
. * * More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season recmod   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Rabbit   Sun Oct 10 2004 01:02 PM

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