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Ricreig
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Reged: Sat
Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Re: New Invest
      Tue Oct 12 2004 02:17 PM

Thankfully, this system even if it becomes a TS or more, will likely NOT affect the US mainiland. There is plenty of sheer and the remains of several cold fronts that should provide weakness in the ridges to the north that *should* allow this system to migrate west, then north well before causing the US problems. This could be considered negative wishcasting, but seems reasonable given the current and forecast weather patterns.

The ones I worry most about is the stalled, tail-ends of fronts pushing into the Western Gulf of Mexico and developing into 'home-brew' tropical cyclones ala Matthew, but having real possibilities of becoming full fledged TS or Hurricanes. These storms tend to move E-NE and often affect the Eastern Gulf from New Orleans around the big bend to S. Florida. With luck, all of the US is out of the tropical storm business for the year, but as they say, "it ain't over till the Fat Lady sings"...which isn't likely till November-ish.

--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!

Edited by Ricreig (Tue Oct 12 2004 02:19 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Oct 12 2004 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Terra   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Systems Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Hurricane Season 2004 Website recmod   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Season 2004 Website Anony   Mon Oct 11 2004 12:07 PM
. * * Large waves from Karl Domino   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:02 AM
. * * Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm Steve   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Nicole reclassified to Tropical Storm danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Nicole thoughts Clark   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Sun Oct 10 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Matt033   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:03 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Clark   Mon Oct 11 2004 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 01:26 PM
. * * Overview of Current Weather Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:58 PM
. * * Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) LI Phil   Mon Oct 11 2004 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Redbird   Tue Oct 12 2004 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:29 PM
. * * New Invest Bloodstar   Mon Oct 11 2004 06:42 PM
. * * Re: New Invest Keith234   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:44 PM
. * * Re: New Invest HumanCookie   Mon Oct 11 2004 08:37 PM
. * * Re: New Invest Ricreig   Tue Oct 12 2004 02:17 PM
. * * Current Weather Overview 10/12 Keith234   Tue Oct 12 2004 04:48 PM
. * * Thoughts from Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Oct 12 2004 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas LONNY307   Wed Oct 13 2004 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas Storm Cooper   Wed Oct 13 2004 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) Katie   Mon Oct 11 2004 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Back after a nice respite (for me) GuppieGrouper   Mon Oct 11 2004 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Nicole thoughts DroopGB31   Mon Oct 11 2004 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Interesting Read RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Oct 10 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Matt033   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 04:51 PM
. * * More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season recmod   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season ShanaTX   Sun Oct 10 2004 06:06 PM
. * * Re: More Records For 2004 Hurricane Season Keith234   Sun Oct 10 2004 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Nicole Develops Near Bermuda Rabbit   Sun Oct 10 2004 01:02 PM

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