HanKFranK
User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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Re: October activity
Tue Oct 19 2004 03:02 PM
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??keith i'm not sure how something below 15N is going to be a hybrid system??
anyhow, invest 98L poking up east of the antilles.. heaviest convection out near 45w, weak cyclonic turning at different heights between 50-55w.. all centered around 12-15N. like clark said, SLOW on the uptake if anything can get going.. the whole system should trudge wnw under mild to moderate shear. gfs still trying to develop a low near the sw caribbean in a few days, but taking it west into central america now. still plenty of westpac activity, but that hasn't correllated to upstream activity very well.. works much better in the late summer.
don't think any surprises on the way this week.. if things happen the should be gradual and undramatic.
HF 1859z19october
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