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danielw Moderator Reged: Wed Posts: 3525 Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W) Caribbean Update       Fri Oct 29 2004 03:43 AM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   Keith, GFS always "bears watching", but the latest update isn't indicating any tropical systems moving Northward. The 850mb 15*C line extends to most all of the Gulf Coast and even into the GoM at one point. The mets here can give you a better handle on tropical systems and the 15*C line, but I would think that would make the air to cool and dry for a tropical system to sustain itself. BTW 15*C is 59*F, for conversion. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/ten_s_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/index_850_su_loop.shtml TWC is watching an enlarging area of moderate to deep convection centered near 15.0N / 75.0W. TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT FRI 29 OCT 2004 ....TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA ALONG 76W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. A 2324 UTC QSCAT PASS INDICATED A SHARP WIND SHIFT TO THE N OF BARRANQUILLA COLOMBIA AND AN EASTERLY WIND SURGE OVER THE E/CNTRL CARIBBEAN. LOW-LEVEL SPEED CONVERGENCE AND THE WAVE AXIS ITSELF IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 73W-77W..... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/data/tropical/180.jpg The black dots on the ramsdis shots are from the lightning in the system! Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Activity Near Bermuda Ed Dunham Fri Oct 29 2004 03:43 AM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Clark   Sat Oct 23 2004 11:19 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda LI Phil   Sun Oct 24 2004 12:25 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Clark   Sun Oct 24 2004 11:08 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda danielw   Mon Oct 25 2004 04:23 AM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Rabbit   Mon Oct 25 2004 10:39 AM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Bermuda   Mon Oct 25 2004 03:56 PM mjo LoisCane   Mon Oct 25 2004 03:58 PM Re: mjo LI Phil   Mon Oct 25 2004 04:32 PM Re: mjo James88   Mon Oct 25 2004 06:16 PM hanging in there bobbi   Wed Oct 27 2004 01:35 PM This is weird Keith234   Thu Oct 28 2004 06:33 PM Caribbean Update danielw   Fri Oct 29 2004 03:43 AM Re: Caribbean Update Keith234   Fri Oct 29 2004 06:47 AM Re: Caribbean Update bobbi   Fri Oct 29 2004 11:36 AM Re: Caribbean Update Domino   Fri Oct 29 2004 08:54 AM Re: Caribbean Update Keith234   Fri Oct 29 2004 02:39 PM Re: Caribbean Update Storm Cooper   Fri Oct 29 2004 02:55 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Ed in Va   Mon Oct 25 2004 11:25 AM activity near the islands LoisCane   Mon Oct 25 2004 03:15 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda LI Phil   Mon Oct 25 2004 11:41 AM herr otto? HanKFranK   Sun Oct 24 2004 03:53 PM Re: herr otto? Keith234   Sun Oct 24 2004 05:01 PM Re: herr otto? James88   Sun Oct 24 2004 03:56 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda danielw   Sun Oct 24 2004 02:38 AM Re: Activity Near Bermuda Keith234   Sun Oct 24 2004 09:42 AM Re: Activity Near Bermuda LI Phil   Sat Oct 23 2004 07:23 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda danielw   Sat Oct 23 2004 07:55 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda danielw   Sat Oct 23 2004 08:03 PM Re: Activity Near Bermuda danielw   Sat Oct 23 2004 08:22 PM Re:Tropical Weather Update danielw   Sat Oct 23 2004 08:10 PM Re:Tropical Weather Update Heather   Sat Oct 23 2004 08:58 PM

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