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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season
      Sun Apr 03 2005 12:19 AM

As Lysis put it, the problem isn't so much the charts that are out there as it is educating the general public.

Everyone's natural tendency is to focus on the exact projected track -- the center line -- and say *that* is where the storm is going. However, as we know, the effects of a hurricane are far-reaching. The right side of a storm is generally the most intense; even a storm moving into Tampa would've affected all of South Florida to a large degree -- as projected by them being under a hurricane warning! How to overcome this with the general public is a matter up for debate.

The media does not help in educating the public, nor do those out there who think "well, we haven't seen a hurricane in 20 years, we're pretty much immune." The media has the tendency to narrow in on the projected path, not the watch & warning area, and use whatever is necessary to pump up ratings, even if that means using a particular computer model's track that isn't near the best. Obviously, this does not hold for the entire media; it is a case of a few bad apples spoiling the bunch. However, there's no excuse for the media and public to be thinking that South & inland Central Florida are immune from a hit by a storm because the center of the storm is projected to make landfall in Tampa (yet the potential swath extends from Tallahassee to Key West)! It's even worse to blame the NHC for their shortcomings. Yes, education on the part of the NHC does need to get better; however, if private companies try to meddle with something that isn't terribly broken, it just makes things worse. I can think of one such prominent company (which I won't mention, but many of you can probably figure) which fits this bill.

This post has sort of rambled on, but the explanation for why the voting came out like it did is pretty simple: the majority of those who voted are likely in the field itself or are weather enthusiasts. They are the ones who know the most about the effects of the storms, on the whole, and feel that changing things isn't the solution. Instead, education is the answer...now it's a matter of figuring out how to go about educating the public.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Cycloneye11 Sun Apr 03 2005 12:19 AM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season HURAKAN   Wed Mar 30 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Kevin   Thu Mar 31 2005 04:00 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Lysis   Thu Mar 31 2005 05:50 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Clark   Sun Apr 03 2005 12:19 AM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season HanKFranK   Sun Apr 03 2005 03:15 AM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Lysis   Mon Apr 04 2005 10:20 AM
. * * South East Gulf of Mexico B.C.Francis   Thu May 05 2005 07:48 AM
. * * Re: South East Gulf of Mexico HanKFranK   Thu May 05 2005 08:08 AM
. * * Re: South East Gulf of Mexico B.C.Francis   Thu May 05 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: South East Gulf of Mexico Lysis   Thu May 05 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: South East Gulf of Mexico B.C.Francis   Thu May 05 2005 04:17 PM
. * * Re: South East Gulf of Mexico Lysis   Thu May 05 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season tommy   Thu Mar 24 2005 03:13 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Storm Cooper   Wed Mar 23 2005 07:36 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Lysis   Wed Mar 23 2005 08:30 PM
. * * Re: NHC leaves same track maps for 2005 season Lysis   Wed Mar 23 2005 07:33 PM

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