The 06Z Surface Analysis also shows a broad low pressure area (1005mb) in this general region, with IR satellite imagery indicating a large complex of convection with very cold cloud top temperatures. This area is also being hinted at in some of the forecast models, as alreadys tated above. After my comments yesterday about this area not developing, and with HF's comments on the analog years having preseason or early season activity, it looks like this area might actually do something over the next few days.
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Generated May 20, 2024, 4:41:20 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center