Quote: In the latter part of the GFS model, it has a couple of low pressure signatures in the gulf of mexico. Could this be a sign of a tropical system on the horizon. :?:
(Standard Disclaimer: IANAM, so what I say is more my own personal thoughts and analysis, Don't rely upon me, because I don't know that I'm talking about!)
Don't see it happening, anything the GFS projects I tend to take with a grain of salt anyway, and what lowpressures it is developing look to be a part of a frontal boundry of sorts. (if it were January or February, I'd say there'd be a shot at a southern snow storm).
Add into it the wind shear doesn't look like it's going to relax for a little while (unless I'm reading things wrong), so everything points to a no go for a ltittle while.
As it is, we're going to have a quiet start to the season, Don't worry, we're going to have plenty of action. Certainly Last year started slow, but oh boy did it make up for it.
-Mark
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 39405
Mobile Home
- Login
- Normal Flhurricane Site This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 10, 2024, 1:05:22 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center