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HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
The Area Near the Bahamas
      Fri Jun 24 2005 11:52 AM

The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Weather Outlook for 11:30 EDT today, indicates that there is some interest in the complex system evolving near the Bahamas.

There isn't a clear cut surface low, which would indicate tropical development; but the thunderstorms and turning in the atmosphere are becoming more pronounced.

This is referred to as Invest 94L, the in-and-out sort of disturbance which has been working its way north out of the Caribbean. It isn't purely tropical, as it consists of wave energy being drawn up around the upper low that is has hooked around Southern Florida.

Convection triggered on the flank of the low, the northward moving wave energy, and low level convergence from the easterly flow around the ridge to the north are keeping it an active, stormy area.

This area has a chance to develop. The National Hurricane Center has a tentative hurricane hunter reconnaissance aircraft flight scheduled for off the North Florida and Georgia coasts tomorrow.

Since the system is complex and of hybrid nature, NHC will be hesitant to classify it, so the chances of seeing a named system aren't what I'd call high. Nevertheless the weather along the North Florida, Georgia, and Carolina coasts should be rainy and breezy as the system approaches Saturday and Sunday. Given more time, perhaps three days I'd almost guarantee a named tropical system, but it doesn't have that long.

Elsewhere a small disturbance continues in the Western Caribbean, in a marginal development environment. The conditions there should improve as the upper trough begins to lift out and back away to the north. With a tropical wave moving through there is at least a passing interest for this area.

This disturbed weather should continue west and northwest and may be of interest in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. However, what forecast model support that did exist for it becoming active has become more attuned to Eastern Pacific development. It will also be close to or over land at times. Keep an eye on it anyway.


HF 1647z24june

Event Related Links:
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar

Static Model Plot of Wave near the Bahamas (94L) from South Florida Water management District
Animated Model Plot of Caribbean Disurbance (94L)


Edited by SkeetoBite (Fri Jun 24 2005 12:17 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK Fri Jun 24 2005 11:52 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:38 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Skippy   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:33 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 10:04 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:05 AM
. * * no interest? HanKFranK   Sat Jun 25 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Recon Jamiewx   Sat Jun 25 2005 12:54 PM
. * * 94L Bloodstar   Sat Jun 25 2005 04:20 PM
. * * Re: 94L Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 94L GuppieGrouper   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:01 PM
. * * Re: 94L Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:12 PM
. * * Re: 94L HanKFranK   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: 94L Clark   Sat Jun 25 2005 08:38 PM
. * * Password Request Tazmanian93   Sat Jun 25 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:12 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 08:58 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Storm Cooper   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Domino   Fri Jun 24 2005 09:25 PM
. * * All Chips on Table dem05   Fri Jun 24 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:03 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:41 PM
. * * Re: All Chips on Table LadyStorm   Sat Jun 25 2005 05:51 AM
. * * Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 06:35 AM
. * * Re: Bret today? Rich B   Sat Jun 25 2005 07:10 AM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas HanKFranK   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:41 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Jekyhe904   Fri Jun 24 2005 05:50 PM
. * * GOM? JohnB   Fri Jun 24 2005 06:26 PM
. * * Re: GOM? Steve hirschb.   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: GOM? nc cane   Fri Jun 24 2005 07:53 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:49 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:34 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Colleen A.   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:06 PM
. * * Central Florida RedingtonBeachGuy   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:50 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas AgentB   Fri Jun 24 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development MapMaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 02:43 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:25 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development doug   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:45 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:46 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Katie   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Mapmaster   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:00 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:14 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Hunter   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:05 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Pete Creedon   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Storm Cooper   Sat Jun 25 2005 09:20 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development HCW   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:44 AM
. * * NW Carrb? MikeG   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:32 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Storm Cooper   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:51 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Prospero   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:01 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:17 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? HanKFranK   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:26 AM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:17 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:43 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:24 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:25 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? and more... h2ocean   Sun Jun 26 2005 08:51 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? Lysis-in-Texas   Sun Jun 26 2005 04:45 PM
. * * It is a TD MapMaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 05:22 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:05 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Mapmaster   Sun Jun 26 2005 07:01 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Sun Jun 26 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD dem05   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:02 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Steve   Mon Jun 27 2005 12:42 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Domino   Mon Jun 27 2005 01:42 AM
. * * The 94L system danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 27 2005 07:53 AM
. * * Re: It is a TD Tazmanian93   Sun Jun 26 2005 11:49 PM
. * * Re: It is a TD Hurrihj   Sun Jun 26 2005 06:33 PM
. * * Re: NW Carrb? GuppieGrouper   Sun Jun 26 2005 12:29 PM
. * * That's a Tropical Depression Bloodstar   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:17 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression HF gone home   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:48 PM
. * * Re: That's a Tropical Depression Steve   Sun Jun 26 2005 02:37 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas- possibe tropical development Tazmanian93   Fri Jun 24 2005 04:19 PM
. * * Re: The Area Near the Bahamas Wingman51   Fri Jun 24 2005 12:19 PM

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