danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Monday Morning
Mon Jun 27 2005 07:32 AM
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Checking the NWS office's Area Forecast Discussions, from Lake Charles,LA to Jacksonville,FL.
Several mention the GFS model forecasting a "low" to develop in the GOM-Gulf of Mexico.
All of the Northern and Eastern Gulf Coast NWS AFDs are tossing the GFS solution out at this time.
However. The NWS Offices from Mobile to Tampa, and across FL to Melbourne are mentioning a very rainy forecast. With at least two of the offices mentioning the possibility of having to issue urban/ small stream flood advisories due to heavy amounts of rain falling in a short period of time, and falling on saturated ground.
The cloud patterns in the GOM are related to interaction between a tropical wave and low pressure trough.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF SALISBURY MARYLAND IS MOVING NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM OR ELSEWHERE THROUGH TUESDAY.
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