FireAng85, I'm no expert, but here's my best explanation. The latest runs of two of the many computer models (GFS and GFDL), have shifted the track of Dennis a bit closer to the west peninsula (still with Panhandle landfall, but these tracks bring tropical storm force winds to the coast).
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Generated May 19, 2024, 12:56:14 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center