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HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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      Wed Aug 03 2005 12:38 AM

td 8 finally popped out of 92L to keep us some company in the lull. seen comments about the mjo in both an nhc twd yesterday and on the accuwx tropical update, so it ain't just me thinking this break is temporary. the graphic the fill-in for bastardi put up today showed the enhancing anomalies working their way in over the next week or two and really setting up shop late this month. then noaa had to go put their forecast out ahead of gray... they're talking something 1995-esque. gray ought to be somewhere in their ranges (though he won't give spreads and percentages.. objective numbers). noticed the AP guys have bastardi's threat zones quoted in their article (saw it on fox and cnn today). i put more stock in his numbers than i do in that MIT guy saying hurricanes are getting stronger (flawed, limited data begets spurious conclusions).
not much to disco tonight. fish spinner should be harvey tomorrow. the hurricane hunter will probably find harvey tomorrow if a convective blow-up doesn't get it there via improved satelite appearance. it's in a very narrow support environment and vulnerable; the storm may prove tenacious as franklin did a week ago, however. the forecast track looks reasonable... should be a messy time in bermuda wed/thu. fine scottish weather.
that itcz low sw of the cape verdes has all kinds of model support, but i don't see it developing quickly or dislodging itself like the globals are showing. that thing may fester and work its way out... or may play possum for days. the eastpac features have perked up some, so that makes me think atlantic activity should start to reactivate in about a week... and be really cranking around august 20th.
two minor features. a convergence zone continues along the old frontal boundary/weakness under the ridge from east of ga to the central gulf coast. weak model support for low pressure in either of these areas lingering throughout the week. nothing indicates development, however.
HF 0438z03august

Edited by HanKFranK (Wed Aug 03 2005 12:39 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 03 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 04 2005 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Fletch   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic AgentB   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Aug 04 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Steve H1   Thu Aug 04 2005 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Ron Basso   Thu Aug 04 2005 01:37 PM
. * * 95L Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2005 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Rabbit   Thu Aug 04 2005 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Lysis   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic VolusiaMike   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic zmdz01   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:24 PM
. * * Future Irene (and Jose?) rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Future Irene (and Jose?) CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Future Irene (and Jose?) Wingman51   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic amonty   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Ryan   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 01:21 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 04 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L AgentB   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Future Irene rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Future Irene AgentB   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:20 PM
. * * 09L NONAME Rich B   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: 09L NONAME BillD   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:35 PM
. * * A little bit of everything Keith234   Thu Aug 04 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L ShanaTX   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:01 PM
. * * Re: clasification of 95L Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:08 PM
. * * 12Z NOGAPS CoalCracker   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:26 PM
. * * Re: 12Z NOGAPS doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Steve H1   Thu Aug 04 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic SC Bill   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic CDMOrlando   Thu Aug 04 2005 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 10:31 AM
. * * 95L looking really good on visual... CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: 95L looking really good on visual... NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:17 AM
. * * Re: 95L looking really good on visual... doug   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:24 AM
. * * Re: 95L looking really good on visual... NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Fletch   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Rich B   Wed Aug 03 2005 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2005 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic Clark   Wed Aug 03 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic NONAME   Wed Aug 03 2005 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 03 2005 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic JG   Wed Aug 03 2005 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Eastern Atlantic Wave *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Ron Basso   Wed Aug 03 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Eastern Atlantic Wave RyanRedCross1   Wed Aug 03 2005 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Eastern Atlantic Wave Ron Basso   Wed Aug 03 2005 08:52 PM
. * * Invest 95L stormchazer   Wed Aug 03 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 03 2005 08:03 PM
. * * sooner HanKFranK   Wed Aug 03 2005 08:39 PM
. * * Re: sooner JG   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: sooner Old Sailor   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:04 PM
. * * Re: sooner Random Chaos   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: sooner Old Sailor   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: sooner Random Chaos   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: sooner Old Sailor   Wed Aug 03 2005 11:02 PM
. * * Re: 95L NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 08:27 AM
. * * Re: 95L B.C.Francis   Thu Aug 04 2005 08:42 AM
. * * Re: 95L NONAME   Thu Aug 04 2005 08:45 AM
. * * TD in a day? Random Chaos   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: sooner GuppieGrouper   Wed Aug 03 2005 08:51 PM
. * * Re: sooner CoalCracker   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Frank P   Wed Aug 03 2005 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Ron Basso   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Old Sailor   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Clark   Wed Aug 03 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Old Sailor   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Eastern Atlantic Wave Random Chaos   Wed Aug 03 2005 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic JG   Wed Aug 03 2005 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 03 2005 06:14 PM
. * * east atlantic LoisCane   Wed Aug 03 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Harvey Forms in Atlantic CDMOrlando   Wed Aug 03 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic Storm Cooper   Tue Aug 02 2005 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic MichaelA   Tue Aug 02 2005 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic tpratch   Tue Aug 02 2005 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic ShanaTX   Tue Aug 02 2005 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic MichaelA   Tue Aug 02 2005 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic ShanaTX   Tue Aug 02 2005 10:50 PM
. * * company HanKFranK   Wed Aug 03 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: company abyrd   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:11 AM
. * * Re: company Steve H1   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:22 AM
. * * Re: company Wxwatcher2   Wed Aug 03 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Feature fun and goodness Bloodstar   Wed Aug 03 2005 03:32 AM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness ShanaTX   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness leetdan   Wed Aug 03 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness CoalCracker   Wed Aug 03 2005 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness MoparMitch   Wed Aug 03 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 03 2005 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Feature fun and goodness tpratch   Wed Aug 03 2005 11:43 AM
. * * Re:Flags MapMaster   Wed Aug 03 2005 12:22 PM
. * * Re:Flags Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 03 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Random Wacky Question Bloodstar   Wed Aug 03 2005 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Random Wacky Question Fletch   Wed Aug 03 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic NONAME   Tue Aug 02 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Eight Forms in Atlantic MichaelA   Tue Aug 02 2005 10:31 PM
. * * East Atlantic Wave h2ocean   Tue Aug 02 2005 08:14 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave MichaelA   Tue Aug 02 2005 09:36 PM

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