check out the GFDL models, they have TD#10 becoming a cat. 3 hurricane in about 114 hours, and then in the llaasttt frame you can see a little spec of cat. 4 force storm. What are peoples opinions on this event?
EDIT: also, in 48 hours is has it being a TS Jose, we'll just have to seee
Ryan, as richisurfs mentioned in a later post, you can't use just one model run for any given system. The previous two runs of the GFDL, at 6z and 12z, both dissipated the storm within 48hr -- whereas now, after it has been dropped by the NHC, it takes it to category 4 status in five days. It's got a shot at regenerating down the line, probably in a day or so, but not like that. --Clark
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Generated May 15, 2024, 2:38:00 AM EDT
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