If August turns out to not be as active as he called for -- I think he said 5 storms in the month -- then perhaps. As of right now, we've got about 2wks left in the month and two storms down. Given climatology, at least one more is a good bet...given model guidance and current conditions, two more isn't out of the realm of possibility within the next week. It all depends on how the rest of the month plays out, but I expect any changes to be relatively minor.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 3:43:06 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center