Checking the 19/ 00Z, tropical cyclone genesis models. GFS brings the remnants of XTD 10 into the FL Peninsula. Very low vorticity CMC follows suit with XTD 10. Develops wave off of Africa, and brings it to 20N/ 40W. NOGAPS is in agreement with GFS and CMC as above. But has the African wave passing South of the Cape Verde Isles.
The 18/12Z MM5FSU model takes the remnants of XTD 10 into the Atlantic between Bermuda and the East Coast. Also depicting the African wave, in the same general area as the newer models. **Note-None of the above models develops XTD 10. A vorticity signature is all that they are showing. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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Generated May 15, 2024, 9:24:14 PM EDT
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