News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10
      Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM

[moved from old thread]

Ok, NHC is very late in getting their 5am TWO up...given that it is almost 7am now...wonder what is going on? TWD from about 4.5 hours ago says there is a new wave off Africa. Yet another one to watch! Plus a wave over central America and another out in the Carribean...in addition to X-TD10 and 97L.


97L - Looking at IR:
97L Looks VERY good. It looks like it has consolidated down to a central spin, and appears to have a comma-shape with good circulation and banding to it. It has also shrunk in size, no longer the huge blob that it was, it is now a much smaller more defined system.

There hasn't been a Dvorak reading on it in about 5 hours, but what the satellite animation shows is it getting its act together in just the past 6 hours. I'd expect a decent classification soon. This might be why NHC hasn't gotten their TWO up - perhaps they are waiting on information about 97L?

Models are still inconistant on the strength and track of 97L, but they should become better once we see a TD out there. Whether it turns to sea or keeps westward is still unknown, but the models seem to think a turn to sea is likely.

I'm going to take a wild guess and say we might have a cyclone out there today just based on the IR sat.

----------

X-TD10:
Again, the IR presentation is very good this morning, though I'm not seeing rotation to the signature. Again the models are highly divergent on what exactly it will do, with some strengthening it and some ignoring it. Again, once (if) it makes a TD it should get better model guidance. This is still a wait-and-see system, though I expect we'll have a cyclone within a few days.

---------

Any met: why have the GFDL models for 97L on both PSU and FSU been all missing images? NOAA has to be running the models or they wouldn't be listed, but why isn't there any data on those websites?

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Richie at work   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 J.C.   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:42 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:15 AM
. * * visibles HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:43 AM
. * * What the H@#% Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:03 AM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: What the H@#% NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Circulation ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:57 AM
. * * Re: QuikSCAT Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Circulation SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve H1   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Circulation HURRICANELONNY   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation pcola   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Hootowl   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Different area of low pressure... Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:47 PM
. * * agree with scott LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
. * * TD 12 Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Different area of low pressure... troy2   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 12 MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Floridacane   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Circulation *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* hurrark   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation damejune2   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM
. * * JB Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: JB NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:12 PM
. * * Re: JB scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Circulation Steve   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:33 PM
. * * 99L Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:36 AM
. * * Disreguard the previous links. Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 pedro   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:15 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 19454

Rate this thread

Jump to
Mobile Home - Login - Normal Flhurricane Site
This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 14, 2024, 10:25:37 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center