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Clark Meteorologist Reged: Wed Posts: 1710 Different area of low pressure...       Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   Recon is reporting that the area of low pressure with the depression is not where satellite estimates had it pegged and is instead further north, at 23.5N or so. This places the center underneath a new band of curved convection forming SE of San Salvador and east of Rum Cay. I expect this storm to be upgraded to a tropical depression at 5pm based upon the findings of a definitive closed center of low pressure. As recon has traversed the storm in a counterclockwise pattern, winds have come from the west-southwest on the southern side of the storm to the east on the north side of the circulation. Winds on the eastern side of the storm have been measured as high as 37kt at flight level (which here is about 240m ~ 750-800ft above the surface), with a pressure of about 1010mb. Given these reports, I estimate this will be a 30kt depression -- or, if it continues to organize -- Tropical Storm Katrina -- at 5pm. Still waiting on the first vortex report from the recon, but that isn't due until closer to 3pm as I recall. Oh yeah -- 97L -- indications are that the low-level center may be reforming near a mid-level center embedded underneath the deep convection near 17.5N/35.5W. Despite lacking convection for quite some time, this storm has maintained excellent low-level banding features and now appears to be taking that next step towards development. It probably won't beat the Bahamas disturbance as I thought last night, but I do expect this to become a tropical storm before it gets to 45W...perhaps even 40W if the center is indeed reforming underneath the deep convection. Probably won't be upgraded at 5pm, but might at 11p if trends continue. Got a feeling this place is going to get active again in quite a hurry... -------------------- Current Tropical Model Output Plots (or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!) Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MikeC Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:29 PM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:35 PM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:18 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:38 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Richie at work   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:04 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:15 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:19 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:26 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 J.C.   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:10 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:15 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:19 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:37 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:44 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:36 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:42 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:43 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:38 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:48 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:55 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:08 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:15 AM visibles HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:43 AM What the H@#% Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:03 AM Re: What the H@#% NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:08 AM Re: What the H@#% NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:30 AM Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:22 AM Re: Circulation ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:34 AM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:50 AM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 AM Re: Circulation Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:02 AM Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:21 AM Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:52 AM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:56 AM Re: Circulation Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:08 AM Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:22 AM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:27 AM Re: Circulation Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:33 AM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM Re: Circulation Old Sailor   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:20 AM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:15 AM Re: Circulation MikeC   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:42 AM Re: Circulation SkeetoBite   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:57 AM Re: QuikSCAT Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:51 AM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 11:49 AM Re: Circulation SkeetoBite   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:01 PM Re: Circulation MikeC   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:14 PM Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:32 PM Re: Circulation Steve H1   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:31 PM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:26 PM Re: Circulation HURRICANELONNY   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:34 PM Re: Circulation pcola   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:46 PM Re: Circulation Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:38 PM Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:45 PM Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:52 PM Re: Circulation Hootowl   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:32 PM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:35 PM Re: Circulation MikeC   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:40 PM Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM Re: Circulation Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:08 PM Different area of low pressure... Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:39 PM Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:47 PM agree with scott LoisCane   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:18 PM Re: Different area of low pressure... Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:52 PM Re: Different area of low pressure... scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 03:08 PM Re: Different area of low pressure... Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM TD 12 Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:41 PM Re: TD 12 Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:46 PM Re: Different area of low pressure... troy2   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:45 PM Re: TD 12 MikeC   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:44 PM Re: Circulation Ron Basso   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:13 PM Re: Circulation Floridacane   Tue Aug 23 2005 02:21 PM Re: Circulation Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:46 PM Re: Circulation *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* hurrark   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:48 PM Re: Circulation VolusiaMike   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM Re: Circulation MikeC   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM Re: Circulation damejune2   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:43 PM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:34 PM Re: Circulation Rabbit   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:54 PM Re: Circulation NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:56 PM Re: Circulation Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 PM Re: Circulation Ed in Va   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:04 PM JB Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:09 PM Re: JB NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:12 PM Re: JB scottsvb   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:44 PM Re: Circulation Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:59 PM Re: Circulation NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:51 PM Re: Circulation Steve   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:33 PM 99L Jamiewx   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:49 AM Re: Circulation Frank P   Tue Aug 23 2005 10:29 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 emackl   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:32 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NONAME   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:39 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 09:04 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:50 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:36 AM Disreguard the previous links. Beach   Tue Aug 23 2005 08:09 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 NewWatcher   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:31 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:09 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:14 AM Re: Jose's Landfall and Former Tropical Depression 10 pedro   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:15 AM

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