That's what his model was showing...BUT .... he also said it's early and things could change. I wouldn't take it as a "official forecast". He also said he was waiting for the first advisories from the NHC to get a better idea. I think that's called CYA.
However, if you read between the lines from this part of the statement given by NHC regarding TD #12 you may have a general idea of where it's going: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
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Generated May 15, 2024, 9:25:49 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center