TD 10 will likely regenerate and should reach at least tropical storm strength. • The system will likely peak at hurricane strength. • The system will likely make landfall along the U.S. Gulf Coast. Odds favor an area running from Alabama across the Florida Panhandle (possibly within 100 miles of either side of 87.0W), but this is not yet assured.
The 8/23 18z guidance still generally supports the idea of this system crossing Florida (probably southern Florida) and entering the Gulf of Mexico. There are some exceptions.
As for Invest.97L, the risk of U.S. landfall appears minimal.
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Generated May 15, 2024, 4:23:21 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center