I'm thinking NO or west, though not far into TX. The continued southern track makes me think a landfall east of NO isn't likely.
I'm also thinking the intensity models are conservative. Cat 4 definately, possibly even cat 5. The question is whether it maintains the intensity through to landfall. Only time will tell.
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Generated April 28, 2024, 5:23:19 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center