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Margie Senior Storm Chaser Reged: Fri Posts: 1191 Loc: Twin Cities Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH       Sun Aug 28 2005 11:06 AM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   Well, once again, the other shoe drops. The same new wording we saw in the news at 9am this morning. Actually, I like the way they decided to do this. From the 10am discussion: "Recalling that the average NHC 24-hour track forecast error is about 80 N mi...the actual landfall point could still be anywhere from southeastern Louisiana to the Mississippi coast. Also...we must continue to stress that the hurricane is not just a point on the map...because destructive winds...torrential rains...storm surge...and dangerous waves extend well away from the eye. It is impossible to specify which County or Parish will experience the worst weather." What else could they do given the situation and forecasting limitations? NHC conservatively will always stay with the previous forecast unless there is some specific rationale to change it. But here they are saying the forecast is only as good as it is, and for a storm like this, the forecast isn't really good enough - not anyone's fault. So anyone anywhere near can expect they might possibly see the worst, not just NO now. But notice the error all goes to the EAST of the original predicted track, none to the west (lucky you, Abbeville). So look for a curve more to the NE closer to landfall. -------------------- Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp Edited by Margie (Sun Aug 28 2005 11:08 AM) Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH - TD#13 Forms East of Caribbean Islands MikeC Sun Aug 28 2005 11:06 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH VG   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:41 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH GulfBreezeFL   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:29 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Ron Basso   Sun Aug 28 2005 05:06 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH stormchazer   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:46 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH GulfBreezeFL   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:50 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH tpratch   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:57 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH twizted sizter   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:56 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH TDW   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:49 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Psyber   Sun Aug 28 2005 05:30 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Convergence   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:55 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH nate77   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:52 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:59 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH jr928   Sun Aug 28 2005 05:01 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH pcola   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:39 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:45 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:49 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH BTfromAZ   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:09 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Miami Beach, FLA USA   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:12 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:11 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH VG   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:47 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH pryord1   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:49 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Ron Basso   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:13 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:21 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:38 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:16 PM New thread Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 05:00 PM Topography of New Orleans lunkerhunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:26 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH twizted sizter   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:26 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Jeffmidtown   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:42 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Lysis   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:36 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH pcola   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:43 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Ron Basso   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:50 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:08 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH lunkerhunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:15 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:12 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH JYarsh   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:14 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH MikeC   Sun Aug 28 2005 04:05 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH ralphfl   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:49 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH twizted sizter   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:42 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:18 AM Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service recmod   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:35 PM Re: Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service bigpapi   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:44 PM Re: Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:44 PM Re: Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service josh   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:37 PM Re: Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service damejune2   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:46 PM Re: Unbelievable Local Statement From NOLA Weather Service FloydRTurbo   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:43 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH SkeetoBite   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:55 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Sportsfreak1989s   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:58 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH KimmieL   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:32 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH susieq   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:39 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Magic Hat   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:02 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH WeatherNut   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:51 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH BobVee   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:19 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH LisaMaria65   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:31 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH bucagator   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:31 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Pamie   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:08 PM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH KimmieL   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:36 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:26 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH susieq   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:24 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Lisa NC   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:38 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Hugh   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:45 AM Wind Directions hockeyucf   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:50 AM Re: Wind Directions mbfly   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:06 PM Re: Wind Directions ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:11 PM Re: Wind Directions javlin   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:19 PM Gas Prices due to Katrina Bruce   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:17 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina oil trader   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:49 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina MrSpock   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:10 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina damejune2   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:22 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina BTfromAZ   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:57 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina nate77   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:02 PM super dome ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:24 PM Re: super dome stormchazer   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:28 PM Re: super dome built when?? in 1970s? LoisCane   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:50 PM New update Hootowl   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:36 PM Re: New update Hawkeyewx   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:39 PM Re: New update Shan   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:45 PM hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em HanKFranK   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:56 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em jr928   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:07 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em stormchazer   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:01 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em WiscoWx   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:19 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em StormHound   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:08 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em WeatherNut   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:05 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:14 PM back on duty... LI Phil   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:09 PM Re: back on duty... WeatherNut   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:14 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em VolusiaMike   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:08 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em WeatherNut   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:10 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em nate77   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:17 PM Re: hoping for ERCs, but not counting on 'em tpratch   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:20 PM gilbert LI Phil   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:12 PM Re: New update TDW   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:51 PM TD #13 clyde w.   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:19 PM Re: New update Shan   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:55 PM Re: New update mbfly   Sun Aug 28 2005 03:10 PM Re: New update CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:39 PM Re: New update WeatherNut   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:56 PM Re: super dome emackl   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:35 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina BTfromAZ   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:17 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina Rabbit   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:27 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina MrSpock   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:02 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina CrestviewBRM   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:05 PM Re: Gas Prices due to Katrina MikeC   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:18 PM Re: Wind Directions bn765   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:14 PM Re: Wind Directions Psyber   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:05 PM Re: Wind Directions Marianne   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:10 PM Re: Wind Directions OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:23 PM Re: Wind Directions Big Red Machine   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:41 PM Re: Wind Directions TheElNino   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:49 PM Re: Wind Directions collegemom   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:40 PM Re: Wind Directions collegemom   Sun Aug 28 2005 06:20 PM Re: Wind Directions MikeC   Sun Aug 28 2005 01:44 PM question on Superdome.. please explain LoisCane   Sun Aug 28 2005 02:00 PM Re: Wind Directions Myles   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:22 PM Re: Wind Directions Myles   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:29 PM Re: Wind Directions Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:37 PM Re: Wind Directions GLT   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:36 PM Get Out Ryan   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:26 PM Re: Wind Directions Hugh   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:19 PM Re: Wind Directions GEORGIA GIRL   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:17 PM Re: Wind Directions JMII   Sun Aug 28 2005 12:04 PM Re: Wind Directions Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:56 AM Re: Wind Directions pcola   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:55 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Hugh   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:32 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH hurricane expert   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:09 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH LoisCane   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:17 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Hugh   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:21 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:27 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Grant   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:37 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:48 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Clark   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:40 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:33 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH susieq   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:31 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH GEORGIA GIRL   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:45 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Margie   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:16 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:03 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Colleen A.   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:50 AM ramifications HanKFranK   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:15 AM Re: ramifications hunterdm   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:34 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Hugh   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:08 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH Margie   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:06 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH twizted sizter   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:12 AM Re: Category 5 Katrina Winds to 175MPH chase 22   Sun Aug 28 2005 11:03 AM

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