wx watcher that thing doesn't really exist yet. there's a mess of models making a low east of florida... some move the low level feature across but most take the mid level feature northward along the atlantic coast. if it's a deeper system that's what would probably happen. nutshell of what's happened today: maria, unless it undergoes some big decrease in convection, will be upgraded to a hurricane later. the cat 2-3 idea is probably realistic. lee's circulation actually perked back up today.. baroclinic forcing is probably what did that, and it's nearing cooler waters. 92L is back up on nrl. there is some isolated type convection working its way back in near the broad turning.. still bears watching as it moves westward towards the caribbean. surprised no invest is up on the feature near 23/66. looks decent on IR, there seemed to be a closed windfield on it on earlier visible.. and it's being persistent. proximity to maria is all that would work against this one.. but they don't seem to be interacting. may form into a weak tropical cyclone, and eventually interact with maria. the real thing to watch is whatever stews near the bahamas... may be a system trying to form around there by mid week. HF 2346z03september
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Generated May 18, 2024, 11:32:12 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center