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Rich B British Meteorologist Reged: Sat Posts: 498 Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK Todays activity       Tue Sep 06 2005 06:05 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   Well guys, here are my thoughts on our three systems today: Maria - weakening now due to the hostile shear conditions now moving in from the west. Should be a TS by the 0300z advisory package i would have thought, but it may hold out for a further 6 hours. Interesting how the models keep it as a strong ET system out to 120 hrs. Certainly something i will be watching closely from this side of the pond! Nate - Visible imagery shows Nate is very well organised. In fact there could well be a CDO feature now developing within the convective cloud shield. This would indicate that it is still strengthening, and will most likely become a Hurricane within the next 12 hours. Not alot of movement for the past 24 hours, and not really much motion expected for the next 24 hours. However, if i was in Bermuda right now i would be making my plans for an impact from Nate likely Thursday night - and likely to be a Hurricane. TD 16 - seems to be struggling a bit looking at the visible imagery. however, recon found a closed circulation and reasonable wind field. Shear is the probelm at the moment, with the circulation centre located on the extreme southern edge of the convective activity. I dont think we will see much change overnight, and then possibly some slow strengthening on Wednesday. Given the organisation of the depression any motion will likely be erratic for at least the next 12 to 18 hours. However, after that a general north-northwest track should occur. This could be a very wet storm for parts of central and north Florida, and for Georgia too. Still too many uncertainties with this one at the moment though. Regards -------------------- Rich B SkyWarn UK Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast MikeC Tue Sep 06 2005 06:05 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast zacros   Wed Sep 07 2005 06:31 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast crpeavley   Tue Sep 06 2005 08:01 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Jekyhe904   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:00 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Rasvar   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:19 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast weatherwatcher2   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:41 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Rasvar   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:53 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:55 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Colleen A.   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:40 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:29 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:47 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast weatherwatcher2   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:58 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:19 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Clark   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:49 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:38 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Catawba   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:14 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Clark   Wed Sep 07 2005 12:41 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 07 2005 09:05 AM Quick hit thoughts Clark   Wed Sep 07 2005 01:44 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 07 2005 02:18 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 07 2005 02:20 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 07 2005 02:34 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts Random Chaos   Wed Sep 07 2005 06:31 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts Hugh   Wed Sep 07 2005 06:46 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts emackl   Wed Sep 07 2005 07:46 AM Re: Quick hit thoughts tpratch   Wed Sep 07 2005 07:52 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast scottsvb   Wed Sep 07 2005 01:26 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 07 2005 01:43 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:29 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:33 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast dolfinatic   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:17 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:50 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Colleen A.   Wed Sep 07 2005 12:05 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:07 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Hugh   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:31 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Clark   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:56 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast disneyfanfl   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:28 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast MikeC   Tue Sep 06 2005 08:26 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast tpratch   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:31 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Hootowl   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:40 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:43 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast tpratch   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:49 AM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:00 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Rich B   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:13 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast native   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:47 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast The Force 2005   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:42 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast trinibaje   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:52 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Brad in Miami   Tue Sep 06 2005 01:22 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast The Force 2005   Wed Sep 07 2005 09:22 AM ophelia.... HanKFranK   Tue Sep 06 2005 01:43 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast NewWatcher   Tue Sep 06 2005 01:29 PM Re: Tropical Storm Warnings Up Titusville to Jupiter Tropical Depression 16 Forms Off Florida Coast Hootowl   Tue Sep 06 2005 01:44 PM Re: TD16 Ron Basso   Tue Sep 06 2005 02:56 PM Re: TD16 native   Tue Sep 06 2005 03:14 PM Re: TD16 Ron Basso   Tue Sep 06 2005 03:50 PM Gulf Of Mexico Myles   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:00 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Brad in Miami   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:29 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:34 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Ed in Va   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:38 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:54 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Rabbit   Tue Sep 06 2005 05:48 PM Todays activity Rich B   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:05 PM Re: Todays activity DebbiePSL   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:23 PM Re: Todays activity Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:35 PM Re: Todays activity DebbiePSL   Tue Sep 06 2005 06:55 PM Re: Todays activity Ryan   Tue Sep 06 2005 07:05 PM Re: Todays activity Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 07:10 PM Re: Todays activity Hugh   Tue Sep 06 2005 07:22 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 05:48 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico doug   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:24 PM uh oh... Rick on boat in Mobile   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:34 PM Re: uh oh... native   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:52 PM Re: Gulf Of Mexico Tazmanian93   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:21 PM Re: TD16 Clark   Tue Sep 06 2005 03:48 PM Latest vortex message Brad in Miami   Tue Sep 06 2005 04:00 PM WX in Charleston Anton Ross   Tue Sep 06 2005 03:09 PM Maria Robert   Mon Sep 05 2005 09:31 PM Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm Robert   Mon Sep 05 2005 08:49 PM Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 05 2005 09:22 PM Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm danielw   Mon Sep 05 2005 09:56 PM Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm Ricreig   Tue Sep 06 2005 08:51 AM Re: Observations in bahamas as of 8:00pm Clark   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:56 AM setting the pace HanKFranK   Mon Sep 05 2005 05:38 PM Re: setting the pace 317288   Mon Sep 05 2005 10:05 PM Re: setting the pace Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 05 2005 10:42 PM upgrade? HanKFranK   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:01 PM Re: upgrade? Ed Dunham   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:05 PM Re: setting the pace Hootowl   Mon Sep 05 2005 06:55 PM busy busy busy Ryan   Mon Sep 05 2005 07:53 PM Re: busy busy busy tpratch   Mon Sep 05 2005 08:44 PM Re: busy busy busy Ryan   Mon Sep 05 2005 11:31 PM Re: busy busy busy LadyStorm   Tue Sep 06 2005 05:41 AM Re: busy busy busy Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 07:43 AM Re: busy busy busy GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 06 2005 08:09 AM Indications Ed Dunham   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:36 AM here goes HanKFranK   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:50 AM The loop twizted sizter   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:02 AM Re: The loop native   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:49 AM Re: The loop DJINFLA   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:30 AM Re: The loop FlaMommy   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:56 AM Re: The loop Clark   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:36 AM Re: The loop native   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:54 AM Re: The loop NewWatcher   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:57 AM Re: The loop Juanjo   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:03 AM Re: The loop GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:46 AM Re: The loop Steve H1   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:56 AM Re: The loop Hootowl   Tue Sep 06 2005 12:09 PM Re: The loop MikeC   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:28 AM Re: The loop Wingman51   Tue Sep 06 2005 11:01 AM Re: The loop Ed in Va   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:53 AM Re: busy busy busy Colleen A.   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:13 AM Re: busy busy busy Steve H1   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:22 AM TD 16 FORMS! recmod   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:23 AM Re: TD 16 FORMS! emackl   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:27 AM Re: TD 16 FORMS! Ron Basso   Tue Sep 06 2005 10:54 AM Re: TD 16 FORMS! Steve H1   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:32 AM Re: TD 16 FORMS! emackl   Tue Sep 06 2005 09:35 AM Re: busy busy busy Random Chaos   Tue Sep 06 2005 08:27 AM Wave Off FL Coast cjzydeco   Mon Sep 05 2005 05:34 PM

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