If you check the NHC 1100 strike probality list or alternatively check the strike probability map on Weather Underground, you'll see the NHC 72 hour probability locations range from Atlantic City, NJ down the east coast, south to Cuba, up the Florida Gulf coast and across the Florida Panhandle to Mobile!! That shows how much of a handle the NHC feels the models have on Ophy's ultimate direction and destination. The old gal is still an enigma and probably will be for the next 24 to 36 hours. Be interesting to see how long it takes the models to come into agreement.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 11:31:43 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center