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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: down to ophelia
      Sat Sep 10 2005 01:37 PM

Well my offical forecast for landfall might be delayed cause the high is orientated more N-S and could drive the system more Sor SW tonight into tomorow then expected. Im not saying this will be outside the models and hit florida, but there is a slight chance this might get pushed far enough back south that it will turn w and threaten NE florida or SE Georgia. That my forecast? Not really, mine is actually further east then the global models.. I see the ridge reforming more over the western atlantic early next week pushing her NNE and possibly threaten the outerbanks and then Long Island and New England. Right now New England is more then 3 days out but landfall looks right between eastern longIsland and the cape by Weds or Thurs. Im on the farthest east of the model consensus but I wouldnt be surprised if they swing around to this. SSW-NNE position of the ridge will push this then another trough will swing into the great lakes the middle of this week ahead.
Anyways with the slight thought on Florida-Georgia thing is there is more of a NNE-SSW flow then what the models show and also the upper low should be helping induce a more SSW motion later tonight into Sunday.
Will make offical 3 day landfall later tomorrow or Monday unless the treat to the SE increases.

Edited by scottsvb (Sat Sep 10 2005 01:38 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ophelia Moves Away For Now MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 10 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now hurricane expert   Fri Sep 09 2005 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Hugh   Fri Sep 09 2005 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Daytonaman   Fri Sep 09 2005 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 09 2005 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now SC Bill   Fri Sep 09 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Beaumont, TX   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Ryan   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Random Chaos   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Ryan   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:22 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 10 2005 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now SC Bill   Sat Sep 10 2005 07:49 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Ormond Suzie   Sat Sep 10 2005 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Ormond Suzie   Sat Sep 10 2005 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now HCW   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Hugh   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:53 AM
. * * down to ophelia HanKFranK   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia Rabbit   Sat Sep 10 2005 01:14 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 10 2005 01:25 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia HCW   Sat Sep 10 2005 01:44 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia scottsvb   Sat Sep 10 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia Keith234   Sat Sep 10 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia CoalCracker   Sat Sep 10 2005 02:06 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia Steve H1   Sat Sep 10 2005 03:17 PM
. * * Link to Storms From Previous Years Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Sep 10 2005 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years traceyd   Sun Sep 11 2005 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years Random Chaos   Sun Sep 11 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years WisconsinWill   Sun Sep 11 2005 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years DebbiePSL   Sun Sep 11 2005 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years Jekyhe904   Sun Sep 11 2005 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years Random Chaos   Sat Sep 10 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years Ryan   Sat Sep 10 2005 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years CoalCracker   Sun Sep 11 2005 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Link to Storms From Previous Years Ryan   Sat Sep 10 2005 11:08 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia CoalCracker   Sat Sep 10 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia Steve H1   Sat Sep 10 2005 04:57 PM
. * * Re: down to ophelia scottsvb   Sat Sep 10 2005 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now HCW   Sat Sep 10 2005 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now cantbile   Sat Sep 10 2005 08:42 AM
. * * Reality twizted sizter   Fri Sep 09 2005 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Reality dolfinatic   Fri Sep 09 2005 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Reality Adam   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Reality disneyfanfl   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Reality weatherwatcher2   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Reality Adam   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Reality gailwarning   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Reality StormHound   Fri Sep 09 2005 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Reality traceyd   Sat Sep 10 2005 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Reality abyrd   Sat Sep 10 2005 09:12 AM
. * * Re: Reality Hugh   Sat Sep 10 2005 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now GuppieGrouper   Fri Sep 09 2005 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now crpeavley   Fri Sep 09 2005 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now richisurfs   Fri Sep 09 2005 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now dolfinatic   Fri Sep 09 2005 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Moves Away For Now MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 09 2005 06:03 PM

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