OPHELIA REMAINS A BIG QUESTION MARK... W/TELECONNECTIONS FROM THE POSITIVE ANOMALY ACRS QUEBEC SLIGHTLY FAVORING A NEGATIVE ANOMALY NR THE BAHAMAS...IMPLYING THERE IS A CHANCE OPHELIA COULD CONTINUE TO LINGER/LOOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST OR MID ATL SIMILAR TO DAWN /1972/...DORIA /1967/...AND GINNY /1963/. THIS IDEA IS SHOWN VIVIDLY IN THE 18Z NCEP ENSMEAN...AND TO SOME DEGREE IN THE 00Z NCEP ENSMEAN. FOLLOWED TPC GUIDANCE...AS ALWAYS...BUT IT IS PSBL THAT THE LANDFALL/IMPACTS UPON THE MID ATL AND SOUTHEAST COULD BE DELAYED FROM WHAT IS CURRENTLY SHOWN AND VERY POSSIBLY MUCH FARTHER NORTH AS ALL LATEST MODELS...12Z GFS/CANADIAN/NOGAPS/UKMET AND ECMWF TAKE AIM AT ERN NC BY DAY 4 WED WITH GFDL ALSO SHOWING A STRONG SHIFT NWD... SEE TPC DISCUSSIONS AND WARNINGS.
And Conversely very much south as well with the height anomalies.
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 19967
Mobile Home
- Login
- Normal Flhurricane Site This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 18, 2024, 4:23:26 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center