FLHurricane.com: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas

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HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

ophelia creeping along
Tue Sep 13 2005 02:08 AM

there's a good bit more deep convection associated with ophelia this evening than there was earlier today, but the storm still has no real inner core. if it gets one back, it will be one of those ragged eye annular type storms. clark referred to isidore in 2002 as a reference system... not bad in this case. the storm is gaining vertical depth even if it doesn't do any reintensfication, so the westward jaunt will probably come to an end. today it has gone erratically wnw, now roughly due south of wilmington. i'm not really sure where it's going to come in, because it should be turning as it does, and the coastline will be oblique to it. add to that the fact that the storm center is very broad, and it could easily make the same sort of landfall that alex did in august 2004... partial. it could edge in very close to extreme eastern south carolina, around north myrtle beach. more likely it'll move across brunswick county north carolina, between calabash and cape fear. may or may not be a hurricane... but regardless there are going to be frequent squalls with gale force winds over a large area from georgetown northward all along the north carolina coast.. should be mostly a nuisance storm, but a long-lasting nuisance. the earlier progs capturing ophelia late in the week have pretty much evaported, so unless the storm unexpectedly decouples, it'll more than likely whip out to sea. might move close enough to cape cod/nantucket to mess the weather up there, but i doubt it will landfall in new england as some models have sporadically shown.
several of the globals are showing a disturbance in the western caribbean and another from the wave near the africa/islands midway point around the weekend timeframe. that mjo wave does appear to be progressing (the effect of the enhancing anomalies looks to already be present in the eastpac), so the atlantic ought to perk up some next week going into the end of the month. it looks to be coming on faster than i'd thought...
HF 0609z13september

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 13 2005 02:08 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:07 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Convergence	Tue Sep 13 2005 10:35 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Bloodstar	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:51 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 14 2005 07:24 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Cycloneye11	Wed Sep 14 2005 07:43 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	zacros	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:05 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:19 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:29 AM
New Invest	Wingman51	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:54 AM
Re: New Invest	NewWatcher	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:09 AM
Re: New Invest	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:14 AM
Re: New Invest	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 10:52 AM
Re: New Invest	TheSkyGuy-in-OZ	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:46 AM
Re: New Invest	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 14 2005 12:03 PM
Re: New Invest	TheSkyGuy-in-OZ	Wed Sep 14 2005 12:12 PM
Re: New Invest	sailor	Wed Sep 14 2005 12:35 PM
Re: New Invest	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:20 PM
Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:11 PM
Re: Ophelia	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:31 PM
Re: Ophelia	HCW	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:43 PM
Re: Ophelia	Rabbit	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:49 PM
Re: Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:55 PM
Re: Ophelia	ralphfl	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:58 PM
Re: Ophelia	scottsvb	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:13 PM
Re: Ophelia	The Force 2005	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:42 PM
Re: Ophelia	La Nimo	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:28 PM
Re: Ophelia	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:09 PM
Re: Ophelia	Big Kahuna	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:19 PM
Re: Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:30 PM
Re: Ophelia	The Force 2005	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:41 PM
Re: Ophelia	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:48 PM
Re: Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 03:02 PM
Re: Ophelia	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 03:12 PM
Re: Ophelia	Clark	Wed Sep 14 2005 07:15 PM
Re: Ophelia	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:35 PM
Re: Ophelia	CoalCracker	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:39 PM
Re: Ophelia	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:23 PM
Re: Ophelia	Beaumont, TX	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:28 PM
Re: Ophelia	Storm Hunter	Thu Sep 15 2005 01:32 AM
Re: Ophelia	syfr	Wed Sep 14 2005 07:31 PM
Re: Ophelia	scottsvb	Wed Sep 14 2005 03:18 PM
Re: Ophelia	ralphfl	Wed Sep 14 2005 04:27 PM
Re: Ophelia	scottsvb	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:52 PM
Re: Ophelia	scottsvb	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:55 PM
Re: Ophelia	Ryan	Wed Sep 14 2005 10:50 PM
Re: Ophelia	Daytonaman	Wed Sep 14 2005 08:50 PM
Re: Ophelia	bigpapi	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:09 PM
a little more ophelia	HanKFranK	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:29 PM
Re: Ophelia	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 14 2005 09:16 PM
Re: Ophelia	Random Chaos	Wed Sep 14 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Ophelia	Thunderbird12	Wed Sep 14 2005 06:57 PM
Re: Ophelia	DebbiePSL	Wed Sep 14 2005 03:24 PM
Re: Ophelia	The Force 2005	Wed Sep 14 2005 02:57 PM
Re: Ophelia	Ed in Va	Wed Sep 14 2005 03:01 PM
Re: New Invest	Todd	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:30 AM
Re: New Invest	TheSkyGuy-in-OZ	Wed Sep 14 2005 11:22 AM
Re: 95L INVEST	NONAME	Wed Sep 14 2005 01:19 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:48 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	zacros	Tue Sep 13 2005 06:38 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 07:52 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	zacros	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:08 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:19 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:35 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:09 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Clark	Tue Sep 13 2005 01:15 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:14 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:21 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	rexsc	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:40 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	bigpapi	Tue Sep 13 2005 04:17 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 13 2005 05:37 PM
Invest 95L	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:45 PM
Re: Invest 95L	amonty	Tue Sep 13 2005 05:58 PM
Re: Invest 95L	Beaumont, TX	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:27 PM
Re: Invest 95L	prideman	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:45 PM
Re: Invest 95L	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:34 PM
ophelia, 95L, and the guy in the middle	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:37 PM
Re: ophelia, 95L, and the guy in the middle	Ryan	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:46 PM
Re: ophelia, 95L, and the guy in the middle	Tazmanian93	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:50 PM
Re: Invest 95L	bn765	Tue Sep 13 2005 07:57 PM
Re: Invest 95L	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 13 2005 08:23 PM
Re: Invest 95L	CoalCracker	Tue Sep 13 2005 04:12 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Chris Bryant	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:33 PM
Atlantic activity	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 13 2005 03:29 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	WisconsinWill	Tue Sep 13 2005 09:28 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	B.C.Francis	Tue Sep 13 2005 10:36 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 13 2005 11:40 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Tue Sep 13 2005 12:01 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 13 2005 01:08 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Old Sailor	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:58 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Old Sailor	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:47 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:16 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 12 2005 10:04 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 12 2005 10:12 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	J.C.	Mon Sep 12 2005 10:58 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	Clark	Tue Sep 13 2005 12:34 AM
ophelia creeping along	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 13 2005 02:08 AM
Re: ophelia creeping along	WisconsinWill	Tue Sep 13 2005 07:56 AM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	CarolinaGurl	Mon Sep 12 2005 10:56 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas DELETED	noooo	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:31 PM
Re: Ophelia Crawls Toward the Carolinas	prideman	Mon Sep 12 2005 09:41 PM

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