What are the chances of Rita following a path similar to the one Kate did in 1985? They both formed in about the same location, on 11/20 Kate was located at 23.9 & 83.5 (which is almost 2 degrees west of where Rita is now) and on 11/22 Kate was at 30.2 & 85.1 (just west of Tallahassee, Florida). I looked in the NHC archives and it said although Kate was a late November storm, the weather conditions and sea surface temperatures were more like what you would find in late September.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 2:59:11 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center