Full update now on the blogs. Further intensification possible, but the GFS solution of 200mph in 48hr just before landfall? Not buying that one. This storm is a potential disaster and I hope everyone is prepared for the worst.
All of the previous recon planes are back home now...should get a new one heading out there soon; with weakening likely to commence within 12hr, they may miss the peak intensity of the storm if not. They can't always time the advisory packages and plane reports exactly -- and with the former not being able to budge, it's just coincidence that the planes do not get out there to send their reports in time for a given advisory.
More tomorrow, time permitting. Things are getting busy around here again. Thanks to those of you who have PM'd me (and the other mods, I'm sure) with your support.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 5:34:33 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center