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HanKFranK User Reged: Mon Posts: 1841 Loc: Graniteville, SC ignoring the fat lady       Sat Sep 24 2005 11:56 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   the media types like to sound authoritative whether they really know what they're talking about or not. i don't think lou dobbs has thoroughly checked through what is left down in cameron or vermillion parishes... or has the foggiest how many more tornadoes will form in the lower missisippi valley this evening (heck of a lot of warnings last two hours). how many of y'all remember the newsies in the french quarter the evening after katrina hit declaring new orleans saved and open for business? that turned out a little wrong, didn't it? rita's weakening remnant isn't going to stop at texarkana as earlier thought.. right now is slowly decelerating as it moves into sw arkansas. official takes it east across the state and then southward in missisippi. it may just wash out as a frontal boundary approaches, or do the much-advertised jaunt back towards the gulf. there isn't a whole lot of confidence in any of that because of the weak currents and now shallow system. philippe got deemed history last night, but it's low-level swirl has remained discrete inside of the larger disturbance and has now swung back into the convergence line, with deep convection and probably some slight reintensification. system as a whole actually looks like one of the best candidates for a subtropical storm that i've seen in a while. bet is that nhc just mentions it in the TWO for the next couple of days as it remains steady-state. the wave out near 35w is under a good bit of southerly shear, which probably won't improve a whole lot. firing some deep convection in spite of that, but not very likely to do much. globals aren't getting the pattern down very well, so anything closer in over the next week or two is a lot trickier. the conditions to produce close-in development have shown up in numerous model runs, but not with the kind of consistency needed to really believe in them (though the gfs was showing a caribbean development for a couple of days, it's totally switched the pattern in later runs). best bet is a quiet week coming up, with maybe an odd invest struggling along. HF 0356z25september Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeC Sat Sep 24 2005 11:56 PM 99L Bloodstar   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:31 PM Re: 99L Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 02:00 PM Re: 99L doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM Re: 99L HURRICANELONNY   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:44 PM Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:27 AM Re: Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 10:57 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:40 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:55 PM tornado time HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 04:04 PM Re: tornado time Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:58 PM Re: tornado time Ryan   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:25 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeC   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:28 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Catmando   Sun Sep 25 2005 09:06 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression HURRICANELONNY   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:08 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression pcola   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:25 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:15 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:33 PM last few days of september HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:33 PM Re: last few days of september danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:41 PM SE Texas danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:52 PM Re: SE Texas Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM Re: last few days of september WeatherNut   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:38 PM Lull Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:01 AM Re: Lull Hootowl   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:11 AM i get it... HanKFranK   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:34 AM Re: i get it... Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:08 PM Re: i get it... twizted sizter   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:52 AM recon Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:56 PM Re: i get it... doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:22 PM Re: Lull Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:25 AM Let's give NHC their props misunderestimator   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:33 PM Extended Models danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:51 PM Re: Extended Models CoalCracker   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:10 PM Re: Extended Models Sportsfreak1989s   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:32 PM Re: Extended Models mojorox   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:45 PM Re: Extended Models LoisCane   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:50 PM Re: Extended Models mojorox   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM Re: Extended Models Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM ignoring the fat lady HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:56 PM Re: ignoring the fat lady danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:12 AM SW LA Roads danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:01 PM Rita now a Tropical Depression danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:46 PM Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:05 PM Re: Rita BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:31 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border hurricane expert   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:29 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:23 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:26 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border wiley   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:49 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:21 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:42 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:15 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:32 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:16 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:36 PM SE TX and SW Louisiana Update danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:03 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:49 PM Texas Oil and Gas Assoc. BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:54 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:40 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Dawn   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:04 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:43 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:10 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:42 PM Rita and cool front danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:29 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:28 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:57 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border JMII   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:36 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:59 PM onward then? HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:29 PM Freshwater canal locks carolt   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:49 PM Re: Freshwater canal locks Random Chaos   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:53 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border leetdan   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:06 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Sun Sep 25 2005 05:31 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:49 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 03:33 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:38 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border MapMaster   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:51 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:13 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Mon Sep 26 2005 06:31 PM Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:12 PM Recon danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:24 PM Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:26 PM Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:22 PM Re: Recon oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:42 PM Re: Recon Ed Dunham   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:54 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:48 PM Re: Recon oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:00 AM Re: Recon ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:07 AM Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:19 AM Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:43 AM Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:48 AM Re: Cameron LSUHurricane   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM Re: Cameron ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:06 AM Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:59 AM Re: Cameron Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:02 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:08 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:24 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:17 AM rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:41 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:51 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:01 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:07 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:16 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:18 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:32 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:40 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:36 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:57 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:03 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:43 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:46 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:47 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:49 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:02 AM Re: rita delivers oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:09 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:16 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:08 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:28 AM Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:57 AM Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:10 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:18 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:37 AM Lake Charles NWS danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:13 AM Re: Lake Charles NWS Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:51 AM Re: Lake Charles NWS danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:14 AM Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:30 AM Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:34 AM Re: Rita Raymond   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:42 AM Re: Rita Frank P   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:53 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:01 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:06 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:10 AM Re: Rita Multi-Decadal Signal   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:24 AM Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:55 AM Re: Rita nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:50 AM Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:35 AM Re: Rita pcola   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:38 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:04 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:17 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:12 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:23 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:32 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:41 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:40 AM Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:43 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:47 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:49 AM Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:46 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:30 AM Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:14 AM Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:17 AM Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:54 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:35 AM Vortex at landfall danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:14 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:56 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:34 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:37 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:39 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:26 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:28 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:31 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM Re: Cameron bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:15 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:25 AM Re: Cameron nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:28 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:31 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:55 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM Re: Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:41 AM Re: Recon bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:47 AM Re: Recon garrison   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM Re: Recon Ed Dunham   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 PM Re: Recon Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:06 AM Winds danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:40 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:38 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:19 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM

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