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HanKFranK User Reged: Mon Posts: 1841 Loc: Graniteville, SC i get it...       Mon Sep 26 2005 10:34 AM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   models are finally collectively showing something that makes sense about the evolution later this week. there are two areas that have development prospects. i'll mention a third just because it would be weird as hell if it came about. one: the wave in the caribbean. most of the models have it slowing down in the nw caribbean as the environment becomes more favorable. still a goodly bit of shear down there, so this may come about more slowly than shown... but several globals have a system present near/east of the yucatan in 3-5 days. if it develops, like a mexico or maybe south texas thing. more likely mexico, but it may get stuck down there. two: the wave in the eastern atlantic near 40-45w. this is the system the outlooks have been saying 'could be entering a more favorable environment' for a couple of days now. the environment isn't getting a whole lot more favorable, but it is going west and remaining coherent. several globals don't develop/recurve this thing now, instead getting it stuck near the end of the run over the coming weekend as that early october ridge blocks it off the east coast. now i see where that wave underneath was coming from. if it gets caught, we may have it running at us between florida and the carolinas. three: remember all the talk about rita coming back to the coast? well, it is in a fashion. the surface system went out like a shot to the ne unexpected by all those models that stalled the system.. but there's still a lot of rain over ms/al. a lot of the mid-level energy did get left behind instead, so the models/forecasts were partially on. it isn't rita, but this vestige does have the slightest chance of moving s and sw into the gulf and redeveloping. some of those earlier forecasts were totally nuts after all. checked the soi index and its still trending positive with negative interludes. this is a favorable pattern for bursts of atlantic development, that we've had in both july and much of september. the period between october 3rd and 7th or so ought to be a strike window for the east coast, so we aren't rid of threats by any means, even though it's getting later in the season and when we'd more traditionally just look at florida/the caribbean. HF 1434z26september Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeC Mon Sep 26 2005 10:34 AM 99L Bloodstar   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:31 PM Re: 99L Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 02:00 PM Re: 99L doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM Re: 99L HURRICANELONNY   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:44 PM Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:27 AM Re: Heading back to Abbeville heynow   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 10:57 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:40 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 25 2005 02:55 PM tornado time HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 04:04 PM Re: tornado time Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:58 PM Re: tornado time Ryan   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:25 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression MikeC   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:28 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Catmando   Sun Sep 25 2005 09:06 AM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression HURRICANELONNY   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:08 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression pcola   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:25 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:15 PM Re: Rita weakens to a Tropical Depression Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 06:33 PM last few days of september HanKFranK   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:33 PM Re: last few days of september danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:41 PM SE Texas danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 08:52 PM Re: SE Texas Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM Re: last few days of september WeatherNut   Sun Sep 25 2005 01:38 PM Lull Random Chaos   Sun Sep 25 2005 11:01 AM Re: Lull Hootowl   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:11 AM i get it... HanKFranK   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:34 AM Re: i get it... Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:08 PM Re: i get it... twizted sizter   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:52 AM recon Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:56 PM Re: i get it... doug   Mon Sep 26 2005 12:22 PM Re: Lull Ed in Va   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:25 AM Let's give NHC their props misunderestimator   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:33 PM Extended Models danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:51 PM Re: Extended Models CoalCracker   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:10 PM Re: Extended Models Sportsfreak1989s   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:32 PM Re: Extended Models mojorox   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:45 PM Re: Extended Models LoisCane   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:50 PM Re: Extended Models mojorox   Mon Sep 26 2005 01:17 AM Re: Extended Models Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 10:09 AM ignoring the fat lady HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:56 PM Re: ignoring the fat lady danielw   Sun Sep 25 2005 12:12 AM SW LA Roads danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:01 PM Rita now a Tropical Depression danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:46 PM Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:05 PM Re: Rita BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:31 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border hurricane expert   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:29 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:23 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:26 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border wiley   Sat Sep 24 2005 10:49 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:21 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:42 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:15 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:32 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:16 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:36 PM SE TX and SW Louisiana Update danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:03 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:49 PM Texas Oil and Gas Assoc. BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:54 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:40 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Dawn   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:04 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:43 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:10 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:42 PM Rita and cool front danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:29 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:28 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border TheSkyGuy-in-OZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 11:57 AM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border JMII   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:36 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:59 PM onward then? HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:29 PM Freshwater canal locks carolt   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:49 PM Re: Freshwater canal locks Random Chaos   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:53 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border leetdan   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:06 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Sun Sep 25 2005 05:31 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Sun Sep 25 2005 07:49 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 03:33 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:11 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border dave foster   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:38 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border MapMaster   Mon Sep 26 2005 04:51 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Margie   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:13 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Sheeper   Mon Sep 26 2005 06:31 PM Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 26 2005 05:26 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:12 PM Recon danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:24 PM Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:26 PM Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:22 PM Re: Recon oil trader   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:42 PM Re: Recon Ed Dunham   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:54 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:48 PM Re: Recon oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:00 AM Re: Recon ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:07 AM Re: Recon Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:19 AM Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:43 AM Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:48 AM Re: Cameron LSUHurricane   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM Re: Cameron ralphfl   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:06 AM Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM Re: Cameron Rad   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:59 AM Re: Cameron Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:02 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:08 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:24 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:17 AM rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:41 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:51 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:01 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:07 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:16 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:18 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:32 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:40 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:36 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:57 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:03 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:43 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:46 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:47 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:49 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:02 AM Re: rita delivers oil trader   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:09 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:16 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:08 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:28 AM Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM Re: rita delivers Clark   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:57 AM Re: rita delivers Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:10 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:15 AM Re: rita delivers danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:18 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:37 AM Lake Charles NWS danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:13 AM Re: Lake Charles NWS Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:51 AM Re: Lake Charles NWS danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:14 AM Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:30 AM Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:34 AM Re: Rita Raymond   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:42 AM Re: Rita Frank P   Sat Sep 24 2005 05:53 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:01 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:06 AM Re: Rita danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:10 AM Re: Rita Multi-Decadal Signal   Sat Sep 24 2005 06:24 AM Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 07:55 AM Re: Rita nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 08:50 AM Re: Rita collegemom   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:35 AM Re: Rita pcola   Sat Sep 24 2005 09:38 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:04 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:17 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 04:12 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:23 AM Re: rita delivers Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:32 AM Re: rita delivers HanKFranK   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:41 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:40 AM Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:43 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:47 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:49 AM Re: rita delivers nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:46 AM Re: rita delivers BTfromAZ   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:52 AM Re: rita delivers Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:42 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:30 AM Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:14 AM Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:17 AM Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 03:21 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:54 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:35 AM Vortex at landfall danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:14 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers BabyCat   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:12 AM Re: rita delivers Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:56 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:27 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:34 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:37 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:39 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:26 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:28 AM Re: Cameron Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:31 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:44 AM Re: Cameron bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:57 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:15 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:25 AM Re: Cameron nate77   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:28 AM Re: Cameron danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 02:31 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:55 AM Re: Cameron Allison   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:57 AM Re: Cameron Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 24 2005 01:05 AM Re: Recon danielw   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:41 AM Re: Recon bobbutts   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:47 AM Re: Recon garrison   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:31 PM Re: Recon Ed Dunham   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:44 PM Re: Recon Margie   Sat Sep 24 2005 12:06 AM Winds danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:40 PM Re: Recon ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:38 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:19 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:21 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border ralphfl   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM Re: Rita Nearing Landfall at the Texas / Louisiana Border danielw   Fri Sep 23 2005 11:11 PM

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